A government report released on April 10 revealed that consumer inflation remained high last month due to increased expenses such as gas prices, rent, and auto insurance premiums. This data may cause the Federal Reserve to rethink its decision to lower interest rates this year.
Since the beginning of 2021, persistent pricing pressures have caught investors, customers, policymakers, and economists off guard. As a result, on April 12, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by about 500 points, resulting in a 2.4% weekly decline and the loss of almost all the year’s stock gains.
The White House was disappointed with the figures released. Biden’s Republican opponents are using the high prices as a political weapon to undermine his re-election chances. Despite a strong job market, a nearly record-high stock market, and a decline in inflation from its peak, many Americans attribute the high prices to Biden.
At the beginning of the year, the markets expected that the Fed, known for being accommodative, would drop interest rates six or seven times starting in March. However, after each month’s unaccommodating data, investors had to reassess their expectations. As a result, they are now predicting only two cuts, based on a non-zero possibility (about 9%) that there won’t be any this year.
Last month, the cost of owning a car was one of the significant contributors to the price surge. Auto insurance premiums surged by 2.6% in March and have increased by 22% from the previous year. This steep increase is partly due to the two-year rise in new car prices, placing a heavy financial burden on car owners.
The average auto repair cost rose 1.7% in March compared to February, which has grown by 8.2% from last year. Additionally, last month saw a 1.7% increase in the cost of gas for most cars. However, the cost of both new and secondhand vehicles decreased somewhat.